NFL futures: An early look at Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

With the NFL Draft in the rearview, we know now where these young prospects are playing, and we can start to understand what their Year 1 roles will look like.

Off of that, it seems like the perfect time to take a preliminary stock of the betting market, and the odds for each rookie to win this year's Offensive Rookie of the Year. There is surely a future we can pocket now and root on come fall.

The betting favorites for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

1. Caleb Williams (+200)
2. Marvin Harrison Jr. (+600)
3. Jayden Daniels (+650)
4. J.J. McCarthy (+800)
5. Malik Nabers (+1200)
6. Drake Maye (+1600)
7. Xavier Worthy (+1600)
8. Bo Nix (+1600)

The top of the NFL Draft was dominated by offensive players, and the above showcases seven of the top 12 selections, with five being QBs.

Over the past five seasons, the Offensive Rookie of the Year has been a quarterback three times and a wide receiver twice, and unless Brock Bowers (+3500) has a monster season for the Raiders, it should be one of those two positions once again.

When we consider our betting options, we're going to throw out Xavier Worthy, who seems likely here because of the Patrick Mahomes and Chiefs hype. We're also going to ignore J.J. McCarthy and Drake Maye, as there is a very real possibility that neither passer is the Day One starter for their respective teams.

It's also incredibly difficult for us to envision a world where Daniel Jones supports an OROY campaign from Malik Nabers.

That leaves four options: Caleb Williams, Marvin Harrison, Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix. We'll touch on two here.

Caleb Williams (+200)

Caleb Williams is the obvious choice, but that doesn't necessarily make him the wrong one. Williams will be starting in Chicago from the jump, and few rookie top picks walk into a better situation. Williams will be throwing the ball to D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and fellow top-10 rookie Rome Odunze, plus Cole Kmet at tight end.

There is a very real chance that Williams puts up some amazing numbers in this offense, and if you believe the Bears make the playoffs, their rookie QB seems likely to be a shoo-in to win this award.

Jayden Daniels (+650)

You may remember back in 2012 a generational QB talent when No. 1, followed by a mobile quarterback second to Washington. That would be Andrew Luck-Robert Griffin III, and it was RGIII who took home OROY that season.

Could history repeat itself? Daniels certainly has the capability to put up some big all-purpose numbers with the added element of his rushing ability. Should he go for, say 700+ yards and 10+ rushing touchdowns (no pressure), and he pairs that with strong passing statistics, Daniels could easily win this award with the Commanders.

We like touching both top QB picks. Both are in solid situations and both former Heisman winners seem set for strong careers.